Will Colorado have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Colorado have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season" at 50%, with 2 venues quoting within 2 points of each other. The contract settles by Dec 26, 2026; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 51¢ | 49¢ | 1.2¢ | $5K | $1K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 50¢cheapest to buy | 50¢ | 1.7¢ | $19 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Colorado college football team has at least 4 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only official regular season games count towards the team's win total. Ties do not count as wins. Bowl games, conference championship games, and college football playoff games do not count. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Colorado have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season"?
Markets currently price it at 50% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Colorado have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.