Will Iowa be the number 1 ranked defense in CFB? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Iowa be the number 1 ranked defense in CFB" at 4%, with 2 venues quoting at the same price. The contract settles by Jan 3, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 5¢ | 95¢ | 0.3¢ | $1K | $234 | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 3¢ | 97¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve in favor of the team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the fewest total yards allowed per game.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve in favor of the team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the fewest total yards allowed per game.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the team with fewer total points allowed during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with fewer total yards allowed. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which team allowed the fewest total yards per game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Iowa St. is ranked #1 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 5 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution is determined solely by the AP Top 25 Poll designated as Week 5 Rankings for the 2026-27 season on the official Associated Press website. Other sources may display the AP Poll with differing week labels or dates; however, resolution will be based solely on the AP’s official designation. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Iowa be the number 1 ranked defense in CFB"?
Markets currently price it at 4% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Iowa be the number 1 ranked defense in CFB"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.