China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng odds, Oct 6

78%
Favourite: Qinwen Zheng

Consensus across 2 venues · Updated

Markets price Alina Charaeva 22%, Qinwen Zheng 78%, with 2 venues quoting each result. Starts Tue, Oct 6, 11:00pm ET. Each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.

This match on Polymarket and Kalshi.

$185
24h volume, both venues
2
venues quoting
Tue, Oct 6, 11:00pm ET
starts

Odds by venue

Alina Charaeva: China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueAlina CharaevaQinwen ZhengFee24h volumeLiquidity
Polymarket25¢75¢cheapest to buy0.9¢$1$7KTrade →
Kalshi21¢cheapest to buy80¢1.1¢$184–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket's is its international book, Polymarket US charges its own.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Qinwen Zheng
76%▲ 23.0 pts since Oct 5
Yes price
Oct 553% – 76% scaleOct 5

One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.

What the market is actually pricing

Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Qinwen Zheng in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

Full settlement wording

This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Qinwen Zheng in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Qinwen Zheng.

This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Alina Charaeva.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Alina Charaeva wins the Charaeva vs Zheng professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the Charaeva vs Zheng professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Where you can trade this

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Related markets

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Common questions

What are the odds on "China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng"?

Markets price Alina Charaeva 22%, Qinwen Zheng 78% across 2 venues: market-implied probabilities rather than forecasts.

Where can I trade "China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng"?

On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.