Will CS2 Add a Shootout OT by December 31? Polymarket odds
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 6%. That price is unchanged over the past week. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 6¢ reads as a 6% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 6¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve officially implements a shootout-based overtime format for Premier mode in Counter-Strike 2 on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying implementation is an official Valve update that adds, to Premier mode, a tie-breaking format in which a 15:15 tie is resolved through a series of 1v1 shootout arenas, as documented in Valve's official patch notes or update announcements. The implemented format must substantially match the concept of players facing off in 1v1 arenas with the match decided by winning a majority of those arenas. Minor differences in the exact number of arenas, the matchmaking of players within them, or the win threshold will not prevent a "Yes" resolution, provided a 1v1 shootout tie-breaker is officially added to Premier.
A proposal, teaser, survey, or statement of intent that is not accompanied by the format actually going live in Premier will not count. Unofficial modifications, third-party or tournament-specific rule sets, community server configurations, and datamined or unreleased changes that are not part of a published official update will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Valve's official Counter-Strike 2 patch notes and update announcements, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on “Will CS2 Add a Shootout OT by December 31?”?
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 6%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.