Polymarket market

Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026? Polymarket odds

On Polymarket, Yes trades at 11%. That is down 5 points over the past week. The market settles by Jan 14, 2027. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 11¢ reads as an 11% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.

Trade on Polymarket

Polymarket · odds · updated 12:02 UTC

Yes11%

No89%

–

24h volume on Polymarket

$28

total volume on Polymarket

open of 2 outcomes

Jan 14, 2027

settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026?
Outcome	Chance	Yes price	24h volume
Yes	11%	11¢	$0	Trade
No	89%	89¢	–	Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 11¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026

11%▼ 5.0 pts since Sep 28

Yes price

Sep 2811% – 35% scaleOct 5

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.

Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.

If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Jan 14, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 11¢ for Yes right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.

Trade on Polymarket Polymarket review

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.