Bitcoin (BTC) Price Today: ~$82,400, Down 0.7% as ETF Outflows Weigh Ahead of CPI

Bitcoin (BTC) price today: ~$82,400 24h change: down about 0.7% Market cap: ~$1.66 trillion Fear & Greed Index: 55 (Neutral)

Last updated: Oct 12, 2026, 13:30 UTC

Today’s Bitcoin analysis

Bitcoin slipped to about $82,400 today, down 0.7% over 24 hours and 4.2% over the past week, after briefly reaching $84,249 earlier on Monday. It is 34.7% below its October 2025 all-time high near $126,200, and it is giving back the bounce that followed President Trump’s weekend declaration of a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire, which Moscow did not immediately comment on.

The weight on price is the same one that hit the market all last week: fund flows. US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $678.9 million in the week to October 9, according to Farside Investors, the largest weekly outflow since June on SoSoValue’s count. The selling was concentrated on October 7 and 8, when $484.9 million and $244.1 million left the funds and BTC posted its two worst days of the week, including the October 8 low of $80,337. Friday’s $21.1 million inflow was a pause, not a reversal.

Sentiment has cooled rather than cracked. CoinMarketCap’s Fear & Greed Index reads 55 (Neutral), down from 67 (Greed) a week ago, and the bigger picture is mixed: BTC is still up 6.7% over 30 days and 28.9% over 90 days, but down 7.1% year to date and 26.2% over the past year. The next test is September CPI on Wednesday, October 14, with forecasts of about 3.6% to 3.7% annual inflation after the Fed’s September hike to 3.75% to 4.00%. A recovery needs ETF flows to turn positive and BTC to reclaim $84,250, while a hot CPI print would put the $80,000 area back in play.

Key levels to watch

$86,665: the October 6 high and the top of last week’s range. A break above it would end the pullback.

$84,250: Monday’s high and the first level Bitcoin needs to reclaim, inside the $84,000 to $85,000 zone analysts flag as resistance.

$80,337: the October 8 low and the near-term floor, just above the $80,000 support traders are watching.

$74,945: the 30-day low and the deeper downside target if $80,000 gives way, in line with the mid-$70,000s level analysts see as the next stop.

Recent price history

Oct 12: slipped to ~$82,400 by 13:30 UTC after touching $84,249 earlier in the day; Monday’s ETF flow data comes after the US close

Oct 11: rose 0.9% to close at $83,679; Trump declared a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire, and BTC climbed to about $83,900 after Zelensky’s response

Oct 10: closed at $82,912, up 0.4%, in quiet weekend trading

Oct 9: rebounded 1.1% to $82,546; ETF inflows of $21.1M ended two straight days of outflows

Oct 8: fell 1.9% to $81,676 after touching $80,337, the week’s low, on the week’s heaviest volume of $46.2B; ETF outflows $244.1M; more than $1B of crypto positions liquidated

Oct 7: dropped 2.7% to $83,276; ETF outflows of $484.9M, the largest single day since June 25, led by BlackRock’s IBIT at $207.7M

Oct 6: slipped 0.3% to $85,558 after hitting $86,665, the week’s high; ETF inflows $118.8M

Oct 5: closed at $85,787, down 0.8%; ETF outflows $89.8M

Daily prices are UTC closes from CoinMarketCap; ETF flows are net flows for US spot Bitcoin ETFs from Farside Investors. For the day’s headlines, see Bitcoin News Today, and for long-term price history and past all-time highs, see our Bitcoin price page.

What drives the price of Bitcoin?

Bitcoin’s price moves on a mix of forces that are worth understanding if you want to read the daily action above.

Supply and the halving. Bitcoin has a fixed maximum supply of 21 million coins, and the reward for mining new ones is cut in half roughly every four years. About 20.1 million BTC, or 95.7% of the total, have already been mined, and the next halving is expected in 2028. This built-in scarcity is a core part of the long-term bull case.

Institutional demand and ETFs. Since US spot Bitcoin ETFs launched, their daily inflows and outflows have become one of the clearest short-term price signals, as last week showed. Money flowing in means funds must buy real BTC, which supports price. Outflows mean the reverse. Our explainer on how Bitcoin ETFs work and why flows move the price covers the mechanics.

Macro conditions. Bitcoin trades as a risk asset. When interest rates rise or the dollar strengthens, money tends to leave speculative assets like crypto. When policy loosens, crypto usually benefits, which is why CPI releases and Fed meetings move BTC.

Sentiment and leverage. Crypto markets carry heavy leverage. When too many traders crowd one side, a small move can trigger a cascade of liquidations that amplifies the swing, in either direction. Our guide to what makes the Bitcoin price go up or down explains each factor in depth, and our Bitcoin price prediction covers longer-term forecasts.

How to buy Bitcoin

You can buy Bitcoin through a regulated crypto exchange or a broker that offers crypto. Major exchanges include Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, KuCoin, Gate.io, OKX and Bybit, and US investors can also get exposure through spot Bitcoin ETFs. The basic steps are the same across platforms: create an account, complete identity verification, deposit funds, and place a buy order. Many investors use dollar-cost averaging, buying a fixed amount on a schedule, to reduce the risk of buying everything at a short-term top.

FAQ

What is the price of Bitcoin today? Bitcoin is trading near $82,400 as of 13:30 UTC on October 12, 2026, down about 0.7% over the past 24 hours and 4.2% over the past week, according to CoinMarketCap. It reached $84,249 earlier in the day before slipping back, and its market capitalization is about $1.66 trillion. The live price in the ticker at the top of this page updates in real time.

Why is Bitcoin down today? Bitcoin is giving back the bounce that followed President Trump’s weekend declaration of a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire, which Moscow did not immediately comment on. The bigger pressure is fund flows: US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $678.9 million in the week to October 9, their largest weekly outflow since June, and traders are cautious ahead of Wednesday’s September CPI report.

Will Bitcoin go up again? No one can say for certain. In the short term, a recovery would likely need spot ETF flows to turn positive and Bitcoin to reclaim $84,250 and then the October 6 high of $86,665, while a hot CPI reading could push it back toward $80,000. Over the longer term, the case rests on Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply and growing institutional ownership.

What is the highest price Bitcoin has reached? Bitcoin’s all-time high is $126,198.07, set on October 6, 2025, according to CoinMarketCap. At about $82,400, BTC trades roughly 34.7% below that peak and would need to rise about 53% to get back to it. Over the past 52 weeks it has traded between about $57,748 and $116,273, and over the past 90 days between $62,227 and $87,364.

What if I invested $1,000 in Bitcoin 5 years ago? A $1,000 purchase at Bitcoin’s closing price of $56,041 on October 12, 2021 would have bought about 0.0178 BTC, worth roughly $1,471 at today’s price of about $82,446, a gain of about 47% before fees, according to CoinMarketCap data. The same coins would have been worth about $2,252 at the October 2025 peak, which shows how much timing affects returns.

This page is for informational purposes and is not investment advice. Cryptocurrency is volatile. Always do your own research.