Polymarket Bitcoin price on November 2 odds
On Polymarket, 76,000-78,000 closed at 100%. Trading has closed; the result settles the contracts. A contract that closed at 100¢ pays $1 if that outcome is the result, and nothing if not. The settlement rules below say what decided the result.
Polymarket · final prices · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| <72,000Final | 0% | 0¢ | $5K |
| 72,000-74,000Final | 0% | 0¢ | $3K |
| 74,000-76,000Final | 0% | 0¢ | $12K |
| 76,000-78,000Final | 100% | 100¢ | $18K |
| 78,000-80,000Final | 0% | 0¢ | $27K |
| 80,000-82,000Final | 0% | 0¢ | $18K |
| 82,000-84,000Final | 0% | 0¢ | $5K |
| 84,000-86,000Final | 0% | 0¢ | $2K |
| 86,000-88,000Final | 0% | 0¢ | $61 |
| 88,000-90,000Final | 0% | 0¢ | $28 |
Show 1 more outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| >90,000Final | 0% | 0¢ | $28 |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 0¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market settled
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 2, 2026.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Bitcoin price on November 2?
On Polymarket, 76,000-78,000 closed at 100%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Trading has ended on Polymarket. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues in general.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.