Kalshi Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is 75,000 to 79,999.99, at 16%. The market settles by Jan 1, 2027, and $182K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 16¢ reads as a 16% chance.
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This question also has a permanent page: Bitcoin price odds
Kalshi · odds · updated
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75,000 to 79,999.99 | 16% | 16¢ | $23K | Trade |
| 80,000 to 84,999.99 | 16% | 16¢ | $29K | Trade |
| 85,000 to 89,999.99 | 13% | 13¢ | $9K | Trade |
| 70,000 to 74,999.99 | 11% | 11¢ | $8K | Trade |
| 90,000 to 94,999.99 | 9% | 9¢ | $6K | Trade |
| 95,000 to 99,999.99 | 6% | 6¢ | $12K | Trade |
| 65,000 to 69,999.99 | 6% | 6¢ | $6K | Trade |
| 100,000 to 104,999.99 | 4% | 4¢ | $4K | Trade |
| 60,000 to 64,999.99 | 4% | 4¢ | $2K | Trade |
| 105,000 to 109,999.99 | 3% | 3¢ | $7K | Trade |
Show 18 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55,000 to 59,999.99 | 2% | 2¢ | $3K | Trade |
| 115,000 to 119,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $10K | Trade |
| 50,000 to 54,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $9K | Trade |
| 110,000 to 114,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $7K | Trade |
| 45,000 to 49,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $6 | Trade |
| 40,000 to 44,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $4K | Trade |
| 125,000 to 129,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $9K | Trade |
| 120,000 to 124,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $8K | Trade |
| 145,000 to 149,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $12K | Trade |
| 35,000 to 39,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $6 | Trade |
| 130,000 to 134,999.99 | <1% | <1¢ | $6K | Trade |
| 150,000 or above | <1% | <1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| 140,000 to 144,999.99 | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| 135,000 to 139,999.99 | <1% | <1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| 30,000 to 34,999.99 | <1% | <1¢ | $6 | Trade |
| 20,000 to 24,999.99 | <1% | <1¢ | $6 | Trade |
| 19,999.99 or below | <1% | <1¢ | $5K | Trade |
| 25,000 to 29,999.99 | <1% | <1¢ | $6 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 16¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The contract is “BTC price on Jan 1, 2027”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Jan 1, 2027.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 16¢ for 75,000 to 79,999.99 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on Bitcoin price at the end of 2026?
On Kalshi, the favourite is 75,000 to 79,999.99, at 16%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.