Polymarket Predict.fun FDV above what price one day after launch odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, $1B, is at 62%. The market settles by Jan 1, 2028, and $161K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 62% | 62¢ | $113K | Trade |
| $1.5B | 36% | 36¢ | $6K | Trade |
| $2B | 28% | 28¢ | $8K | Trade |
| $2.5B | 13% | 13¢ | $263 | Trade |
| $3B | 9% | 9¢ | $839 | Trade |
| $50M | 98% | 98¢ | $3K | Trade |
| $100M | 98% | 98¢ | $4K | Trade |
| $200M | 96% | 96¢ | $12K | Trade |
| $300M | 94% | 94¢ | $2K | Trade |
| $400M | 93% | 93¢ | $3K | Trade |
Show 3 more outcomes
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 62¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Scheduled resolution: Jan 1, 2028.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 62¢ for $1B right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Predict.fun FDV above what price one day after launch?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, $1B, is at 62%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.