Polymarket market

Will Rabby launch a token? Polymarket odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, December 31, 2027, is at 25%. That is down 9 points over the past week. The market settles by Dec 31, 2027. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 25¢ reads as a 25% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

December 31, 202725%
December 31, 20268%
September 30, 20260%
June 30, 20260%
March 31, 20260%

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

–
24h volume on Polymarket
$125K
total volume on Polymarket
2
open of 5 outcomes
Dec 31, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Will Rabby launch a token?
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
December 31, 202725%25¢$0Trade
December 31, 2026 compare 8%8¢$0Trade
September 30, 2026Final0%0¢$0
June 30, 2026Final0%0¢$0
March 31, 2026Final0%0¢$0
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 25¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents8¢93¢0.5¢$0$4KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus7¢cheapest to buy93¢0.5¢$514–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · December 31, 2027
25%▼ 9.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1825% – 35% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rabby officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Rabby, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Jan 1, 2028.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 25¢ for December 31, 2027 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on “Will Rabby launch a token?”?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, December 31, 2027, is at 25%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.