Polymarket Dota 2 patch 7.42 released odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, November 30, is at 50%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $21 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 50¢ reads as a 50% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 50¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases Dota 2 gameplay patch 7.42 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "patch 7.42" refers to a gameplay update officially titled "7.42" by Valve. If Valve gives the next numbered gameplay update after the 7.41 series a different number (e.g., "7.50" or "8.00"), that update will also qualify. Lettered updates to the 7.41 series (e.g., "7.41g"), hotfixes, cosmetic or event updates, and updates without a new patch number will not qualify.
The patch will be considered released when it is live in the public Dota 2 client and available to all players. An announcement, teaser, patch-notes preview, or content available only in a test, beta, or experimental client will not qualify on its own.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve, including the Dota 2 patch notes page (https://www.dota2.com/patches); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 50¢ for November 30 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More culture markets
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3)
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 26, 2026
$5K in 24h, both venues
PARI Universe:
Polymarket · resolves Nov 2, 2026
$1K in 24h on Polymarket
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO3)
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 26, 2026
$602 in 24h, both venues
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 26, 2026
$617 in 24h, both venues
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3)
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 26, 2026
$298 in 24h, both venues
Which Dota 2 Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before 2027?
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$60 in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Dota 2 patch 7.42 released?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, November 30, is at 50%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.