Which Dota 2 Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before 2027? Polymarket odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Team Tidebound, is at 25%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $40 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 25¢ reads as a 25% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Tidebound | 25% | 25¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Team Spirit | 32% | 32¢ | $0 | Trade |
| LGD Gaming | 29% | 29¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Team Yandex | 28% | 28¢ | $0 | Trade |
| PARIVISION | 12% | 12¢ | $0 | Trade |
| OG | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Team Liquid | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Xtreme Gaming | – | – | $20 | Trade |
| Natus Vincere | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Yakult Brothers | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Show 4 more outcomes
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 25¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active Dota 2 roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page, https://liquipedia.net/dota2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, loan, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup, and any return of an inactive player to the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.
A qualifying roster change must occur within this market's timeframe, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.
If the listed team disbands its Dota 2 roster within this market's timeframe, this will count as a roster change.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match or tournament will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 25¢ for Team Tidebound right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on “Which Dota 2 Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before 2027?”?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Team Tidebound, is at 25%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.