Kalshi Oscar Winner: Best Picture odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is The Odyssey, at 45%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2027, and $150K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 45¢ reads as a 45% chance. We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet, so there is no second price.
Claim $50 bonus on KalshiTrade on Kalshi
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms
Kalshi · odds · updated
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 45% | 45¢ | $15K | Trade |
| You Can See Everything | 29% | 29¢ | $37K | Trade |
| The Black Ball | 14% | 14¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Dune: Part Three | 7% | 7¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Artificial | 2% | 2¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Digger | 2% | 2¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Wild Horse Nine | 2% | 2¢ | $1K | Trade |
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 1% | 1¢ | $51K | Trade |
| Obsession | 1% | 1¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Club Kid | 1% | 1¢ | $4K | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avengers: Doomsday | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Cry to Heaven | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Behemoth | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Project Hail Mary | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| The Invite | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| The Debut | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| The Drama | 1% | 1¢ | $935 | Trade |
| Werwulf | 1% | 1¢ | $468 | Trade |
| Primetime | 1% | 1¢ | $468 | Trade |
| Paper Tiger | 1% | 1¢ | $313 | Trade |
| Tie | 1% | 1¢ | $281 | Trade |
| Fjord | 1% | 1¢ | $191 | Trade |
| Michael | 1% | 1¢ | $187 | Trade |
| Being Heumann | 1% | 1¢ | $94 | Trade |
| The Social Reckoning | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Josephine | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Elsinore | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Disclosure Day | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Minotaur | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sense and Sensibility | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| All of a Sudden | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1949 / Fatherland | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| The Entertainment System Is Down | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ink | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Narnia: The Magician's Nephew | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Hope | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| The Death of Robin Hood | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| I Love Boosters | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tender Loving Care | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jack of Spades | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
1 more outcomes are priced on Kalshi: the full board on Kalshi (opens in a new tab).
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 45¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2027.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 45¢ for The Odyssey right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More culture markets
Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi · resolves Oct 26, 2026
$141K in 24h on Kalshi
#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026
Kalshi · resolves Nov 4, 2026
$98K in 24h on Kalshi
Will the US confirm that aliens exist?
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$100K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi · resolves Nov 23, 2026
$66K in 24h on Kalshi
Ebenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi · resolves Nov 16, 2026
$65K in 24h on Kalshi
The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi · resolves Nov 9, 2026
$59K in 24h on Kalshi
Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on Oscar Winner: Best Picture?
On Kalshi, the favourite is The Odyssey, at 45%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.