Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35" at 45%, with 2 venues quoting within 5 points of each other. The contract settles by Dec 30, 2026; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 47¢ | 53¢ | 1.2¢ | $292 | $8K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 43¢cheapest to buy | 57¢ | 1.7¢ | $15K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
Dancing with the Stars is a reality dance competition in which celebrities are paired with professional dancers to perform dance routines.
Full settlement wording
Dancing with the Stars is a reality dance competition in which celebrities are paired with professional dancers to perform dance routines. This market will resolve to the celebrity participant of the winning team of Dancing with the Stars: Season 35.
If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
If Dancing with the Stars: Season 35 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Dancing with the Stars: Season 35 has otherwise not concluded by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Dancing with the Stars: Season 35.
If Ezra Frech is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes.
How this is resolved The winner must be officially announced in the finale or via official channels immediately following. Multiple joint winners each resolve to Yes with split payouts ($1 divided by number of winners). If no winner is declared, all markets resolve to No. Disqualifications or withdrawals before the finale resolve to No. Later title stripping doesn't affect resolution - the original finale announcement governs. Payout criteria Winners who decline the award still count unless acceptance was a condition of victory. For couples/teams competitions, being part of the winning unit counts. Doesn't count for payout: Fan favorite or other secondary awards don't count as winning. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Dancing with the Stars. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35"?
Markets currently price it at 45% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.