Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)? Odds and prices
"Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)" is priced at 2% on Polymarket and 16% on Kalshi, 14 points apart: the venues disagree, so 9% is their average, not a consensus. The contract settles by Mar 31, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢cheapest to buy | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $3 | $6K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 16¢ | 84¢ | 0.9¢ | $31K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Rockstar Games officially releases a PC version of Grand Theft Auto VI (available for purchase or download on PC, including via the…
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Rockstar Games officially releases a PC version of Grand Theft Auto VI (available for purchase or download on PC, including via the Rockstar Games Launcher, Steam, or Epic Games Store). The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which the PC version is available for purchase or download.
A "PC version" refers to a full commercial release of the game for Windows PC. Beta versions, early access, technical tests, or leaked/unofficial builds will not qualify for resolution.
If the PC version is released before January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "Before January 2027".
If no PC version is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "After March 2027".
Announcements or scheduling of a PC release will not suffice; this market will resolve after the PC version has been released.
Resolution will be based on official information from Rockstar Games; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
For this market, “GTA VI Online” means an online multiplayer mode or service for Grand Theft Auto VI, whether bundled with the base game or separately distributed and regardless of the name Rockstar Games uses. It is released when the general U.S. public can access and play it on at least one supported platform. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Rockstar Games. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rockstar Games. Any references to Rockstar Games, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Rockstar Games and Kalshi.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)"?
The venues disagree: 2% on Polymarket and 16% on Kalshi. The 9% shown is their average; the gap often comes from settlement rules worded differently, compared on this page.
Where can I trade "Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.