Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards" at 6%, with 2 venues quoting within 4 points of each other. The contract settles by Dec 31, 2026; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 4¢cheapest to buy | 96¢ | free | $261 | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 8¢ | 92¢ | 0.5¢ | $4K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry.
Full settlement wording
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Phantom Blade Zero has won Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Game Awards. Any references to the Game Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Game Awards and Kalshi.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards"?
Markets currently price it at 6% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.