Polymarket The Game Awards: Game of the Year odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Grand Theft Auto VI, at 84%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $1K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 84¢ reads as an 84% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: 5 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Theft Auto VI compare | 84% | 84¢ | $281 | Trade |
| Resident Evil Requiem compare | 9% | 9¢ | $273 | Trade |
| Phantom Blade Zero compare | 5% | 5¢ | $261 | Trade |
| Pragmata | 1% | 1¢ | $42 | Trade |
| Control Resonant compare | 1% | 1¢ | $62 | Trade |
| 007 First Light | 1% | 1¢ | $62 | Trade |
| Marvel's Wolverine | 1% | 1¢ | $42 | Trade |
| Crimson Desert | <1% | <1¢ | $51 | Trade |
| Slay the Spire 2 | <1% | <1¢ | $62 | Trade |
| The Duskbloods | <1% | <1¢ | $42 | Trade |
Show 14 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half-Life 3 | <1% | <1¢ | $42 | Trade |
| Forza Horizon 6 | <1% | <1¢ | $42 | Trade |
| Fable | <1% | <1¢ | $42 | Trade |
| Nioh 3 | <1% | <1¢ | $42 | Trade |
| Marathon | <1% | <1¢ | $22 | Trade |
| Onimusha: Way of the Sword compare | 2% | 2¢ | $30 | Trade |
| Esoteric Ebb | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Mouse: P.I. For Hire | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Stranger Than Heaven | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Cairn | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Exodus | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Reanimal | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Saros | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Gears of War: E-Day | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 84¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 84¢ | 16¢ | free | $281 | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 83¢cheapest to buy | 18¢ | 1.0¢ | $3K | – | Trade → |
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 9¢ | 91¢ | free | $273 | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 8¢cheapest to buy | 93¢ | 0.5¢ | $1K | – | Trade → |
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 5¢cheapest to buy | 95¢ | free | $261 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 8¢ | 92¢ | 0.5¢ | $4K | – | Trade → |
Will Control Resonant win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢cheapest to buy | 99¢ | free | $62 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 2¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | $127 | – | Trade → |
Will Onimusha: Way of the Sword win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢ | 98¢ | free | $30 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 84¢ for Grand Theft Auto VI right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on The Game Awards: Game of the Year?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Grand Theft Auto VI, at 84%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 5 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.