Polymarket market

Polymarket GTA VI on PC in what month odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is After March 2027, at 69%. The market settles by Mar 31, 2027, and $478 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 69¢ reads as a 69% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

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Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

After March 202769%
March 202728%
January 20272%
February 20272%
Before January 20271%

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$478
24h volume on Polymarket
$48K
total volume on Polymarket
5
open of 5 outcomes
Mar 31, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of GTA VI on PC in what month
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
After March 202769%69¢$12Trade
March 202728%28¢$90Trade
January 2027 compare 2%2¢$3Trade
February 20272%2¢$369Trade
Before January 20271%1¢$3Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 69¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents2¢cheapest to buy98¢0.1¢$3$6KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus18¢83¢1.0¢$31K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · After March 2027
69%▼ 6.5 pts since Nov 7
Yes price
Nov 764% – 76% scaleNov 14

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Rockstar Games officially releases a PC version of Grand Theft Auto VI (available for purchase or download on PC, including via the Rockstar Games Launcher, Steam, or Epic Games Store). The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which the PC version is available for purchase or download.

A "PC version" refers to a full commercial release of the game for Windows PC. Beta versions, early access, technical tests, or leaked/unofficial builds will not qualify for resolution.

If the PC version is released before January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "Before January 2027".

If no PC version is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "After March 2027".

Announcements or scheduling of a PC release will not suffice; this market will resolve after the PC version has been released.

Resolution will be based on official information from Rockstar Games; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Mar 31, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 69¢ for After March 2027 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on GTA VI on PC in what month?

On Polymarket, the favourite is After March 2027, at 69%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.