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Kalshi US gas prices this week odds

On Kalshi, the busiest line, Above 4.3400, is at 5%. The market settles by Nov 2, 2026, and $112K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 5¢ reads as a 5% chance.

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Kalshi · odds · updated

Above 4.300013%
Above 4.32008%
Above 4.34005%
Above 4.36004%
Above 4.38002%

All 21 outcomes, in order ↓

$112K
24h volume on Kalshi
$112K
total volume on Kalshi
$38K
open interest
Nov 2, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of US gas prices this week
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Above 4.100099%99¢$5KTrade
Above 4.120099%99¢$2KTrade
Above 4.140094%94¢$114Trade
Above 4.160091%91¢$602Trade
Above 4.180081%81¢$727Trade
Above 4.200071%71¢$495Trade
Above 4.220057%57¢$1KTrade
Above 4.240043%43¢$20KTrade
Above 4.260024%24¢$4KTrade
Above 4.280023%23¢$5KTrade
Show 11 more outcomes
Kalshi odds on each outcome of US gas prices this week
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Above 4.300013%13¢$8KTrade
Above 4.32008%8¢$10KTrade
Above 4.34005%5¢$23KTrade
Above 4.36004%4¢$21KTrade
Above 4.38002%2¢$7KTrade
Above 4.40002%2¢$2Trade
Above 4.42002%2¢$254Trade
Above 4.44002%2¢$124Trade
Above 4.46001%1¢$2KTrade
Above 4.48001%1¢$1KTrade
Above 4.50001%1¢$2KTrade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 99¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Above 4.3400
7%▼ 5.5 pts since Oct 26
Yes price
Oct 262% – 16% scaleOct 26

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3400?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Nov 2, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 99¢ for Above 4.1000 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on US gas prices this week?

On Kalshi, the busiest line, Above 4.3400, is at 5%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.