Polymarket Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is $2.0–$2.25T, at 30%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2027, and $96K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 30¢ reads as a 30% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.0–$2.25T | 30% | 30¢ | $22K | Trade |
| $2.25–$2.5T | 23% | 23¢ | $32K | Trade |
| $1.75–$2.0T | 17% | 17¢ | $12K | Trade |
| $2.5–$2.75T | 12% | 12¢ | $6K | Trade |
| $1.5–$1.75T | 6% | 6¢ | $5K | Trade |
| <$1.25T | 2% | 2¢ | $4K | Trade |
| No IPO by December 31, 2027 | 2% | 2¢ | $3K | Trade |
| $2.75–$3.0T | 2% | 2¢ | $4K | Trade |
| $3.0T+ | 2% | 2¢ | $3K | Trade |
| $1.25–$1.5T | 1% | 1¢ | $4K | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 30¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 30¢ for $2.0–$2.25T right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap?
On Polymarket, the favourite is $2.0–$2.25T, at 30%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.