Polymarket Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31 odds
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 20%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $56 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 20¢ reads as a 20% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 20¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gyanesh Kumar ceases to be Chief Election Commissioner of India for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Gyanesh Kumar's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gyanesh Kumar, the Election Commission of India, and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 20¢ for Yes right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More politics markets
Modi out by December 31, 2026
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$851 in 24h on Polymarket
China x India military clash
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$475 in 24h on Polymarket
Modi out by June 30, 2027
Polymarket · resolves Jun 30, 2027
$362 in 24h on Polymarket
Deepseek IPO
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2027
$110 in 24h on Polymarket
India Annual Inflation 2026
Polymarket · resolves Jan 12, 2027
$98 in 24h on Polymarket
JIO Platforms IPO
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$43 in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 20%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.