Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary" at 25%, with 3 venues quoting within 3 points of each other. The contract settles by Dec 31, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 26¢ | 75¢ | free | $1K | $26K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 26¢ | 75¢ | 1.3¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 23¢cheapest to buy | 77¢ | 1.2¢ | $28K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, 11:59…
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Katie Zacharia, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will settle to Yes if Anna Kelly is the next person to assume the position of White House Press Secretary by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Full settlement wording
This market will settle to Yes if Anna Kelly is the next person to assume the position of White House Press Secretary by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from the White House.
A person will be considered to assume the position of White House Press Secretary when they are appointed to the role by the President. Acting or interim White House Press Secretaries will not qualify.
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20NPHC%20-%20(2026.07.07).pdf
If Anna Kelly formally holds the position of White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion. “No new person” resolves Yes only if no new person formally holds the position in a permanent capacity before Jan 20, 2029; in that case every other market resolves No. If the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, every market resolves No.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary"?
Markets currently price it at 25% across 3 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary"?
On Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. Polymarket US takes US residents only; from the US, polymarket.com is close-only. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.