Kalshi market

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? Kalshi odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Anna Kelly, at 25%. The market settles by Jan 27, 2029, and $422K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 25¢ reads as a 25% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.

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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Anna Kelly25%
Scott Jennings8%
Elizabeth Pipko4%
Nicki Minaj3%
Danielle Alvarez3%

All 62 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: compare them

11 of these outcomes are priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.

$422K
24h volume on Kalshi
$3.6M
total volume on Kalshi
$2.6M
open interest
Jan 27, 2029
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Anna Kelly compare 25%25¢$29KTrade
Scott Jennings compare 8%8¢$14KTrade
Elizabeth Pipko compare 4%4¢$16KTrade
Nicki Minaj3%3¢$300KTrade
Danielle Alvarez3%3¢$8KTrade
Margo Martin compare 3%3¢$3KTrade
Tricia McLaughlin2%2¢$8KTrade
Maria Bartiromo compare 2%2¢$7KTrade
Beni Rae Harmony2%2¢$1KTrade
Katie Miller2%2¢$448Trade
Show 30 more outcomes
Kalshi odds on each outcome of Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Roma Daravi2%2¢$234Trade
Kari Lake compare 2%2¢$18Trade
Ben Ferguson1%1¢$10KTrade
Steven Cheung1%1¢$2KTrade
Harrison Fields1%1¢$0Trade
No new person1%1¢$7KTrade
Karoline Leavitt compare 1%1¢$6KTrade
Lara Trump1%1¢$2KTrade
Kaylee McGhee White1%1¢$1KTrade
Laura Loomer1%1¢$1KTrade
Natalie Harp compare 1%1¢$1KTrade
Kayleigh McEnany compare 1%1¢$1KTrade
Mark Levin1%1¢$748Trade
Benny Johnson1%1¢$491Trade
Katie Pavlich compare 1%1¢$468Trade
Rachel Campos-Duffy1%1¢$468Trade
Erika Kirk1%1¢$425Trade
Taylor Budowich1%1¢$280Trade
Monica Crowley compare 1%1¢$200Trade
Alina Habba1%1¢$172Trade
Sean Spicer1%1¢$93Trade
Jason Miller1%1¢$47Trade
Spencer Pratt1%1¢$24Trade
Tulsi Gabbard1%1¢$23Trade
Vanessa Broussard1%1¢$23Trade
Erin Elmore Scavino1%1¢$0Trade
Ben Shapiro1%1¢$0Trade
Taylor Rogers1%1¢$0Trade
Ari Fleischer1%1¢$0Trade
Joe Sweeney1%1¢$0Trade

22 more outcomes are priced on Kalshi: the full board on Kalshi (opens in a new tab).

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 25¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this question

The same question on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents26¢75¢free$1K$26KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only26¢74¢1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus25¢cheapest to buy76¢1.3¢$29K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Anna Kelly
25%▲ 9.0 pts since Oct 19
Yes price
Oct 1915% – 28% scaleOct 26

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Jan 27, 2029.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 25¢ for Anna Kelly right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on “Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?”?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Anna Kelly, at 25%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.