Will Miriam Martínez Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? Odds and prices
"Will Miriam Martínez Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election" is priced at 1% on Polymarket and 1% on Kalshi, where Kalshi has no live quote: the venues disagree, so 1% is their average, not a consensus. The contract settles by Jun 6, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢ | 99¢ | free | $0 | $15K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027.
Full settlement wording
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
If Miriam Martínez Sánchez wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Miriam Martínez Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election"?
The venues disagree: 1% on Polymarket and 1% on Kalshi. The 1% shown is their average; the gap often comes from settlement rules worded differently, compared on this page.
Where can I trade "Will Miriam Martínez Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.