Polymarket Tlaxcala Governor Election odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera, at 74%. The market settles by Jun 6, 2027, and $20 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 74¢ reads as a 74% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera | 74% | 74¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Alfonso Sánchez García | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Irma Yordana Garay Loredo | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Josefina Rodríguez Zamora | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Miriam Martínez Sánchez compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Adriana Dávila Fernández | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Floria María Hernández Hernández | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Danae Figueroa | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Concepción Sánchez González | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 5 more outcomes
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 74¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question
The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢ | 99¢ | free | $0 | $15K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Scheduled resolution: Jun 6, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 74¢ for Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Tlaxcala Governor Election?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera, at 74%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.