Polymarket market

Polymarket AFC Asian Cup 2027 odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Japan, at 31%. The market settles by Feb 5, 2027, and $223 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 31¢ reads as a 31% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Japan31%
South Korea30%
Australia14%
Iran9%
Saudi Arabia5%

All 24 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$223
24h volume on Polymarket
$8K
total volume on Polymarket
24
open of 24 outcomes
Feb 5, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of AFC Asian Cup 2027
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Japan compare 31%31¢$0Trade
South Korea30%30¢$29Trade
Australia14%14¢$0Trade
Iran9%9¢$0Trade
Saudi Arabia5%5¢$0Trade
Jordan5%5¢$0Trade
United Arab Emirates3%3¢$0Trade
North Korea2%2¢$0Trade
Bahrain2%2¢$194Trade
Syria2%2¢$0Trade
Show 14 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of AFC Asian Cup 2027
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Iraq2%2¢$0Trade
Vietnam2%2¢$0Trade
Indonesia2%2¢$0Trade
China2%2¢$0Trade
Uzbekistan1%1¢$0Trade
Tajikistan1%1¢$0Trade
Oman1%1¢$0Trade
Palestine1%1¢$0Trade
Kyrgyzstan1%1¢$0Trade
Yemen1%1¢$0Trade
Kuwait<1%<1¢$0Trade
Qatar<1%<1¢$0Trade
Singapore<1%<1¢$0Trade
Thailand<1%<1¢$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 31¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents31¢cheapest to buy70¢1.1¢$0$585Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus39¢61¢1.7¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Japan
31%unchanged since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1821% – 41% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC Asian Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup per the rules of the AFC (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 AFC Asian Cup is cancelled, postponed after February 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the AFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Feb 5, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 31¢ for Japan right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on AFC Asian Cup 2027?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Japan, at 31%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.