Polymarket Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Pablo Llamas Ruiz, at 83%. The game is under way, and the market settles on the result. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 83¢ reads as an 83% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 83¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Luca Nardi in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Luca Nardi.
This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 12, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 83¢ for Pablo Llamas Ruiz right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More sports markets
Kotov vs Vukic
Kalshi · resolves Oct 6, 2026
$43K in 24h on Kalshi
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Bernard Tomic vs Timofey Skatov
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 6, 2026
$38K in 24h, both venues
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 13, 2026
$37K in 24h, both venues
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 6, 2026
$31K in 24h, both venues
Djokovic vs de Minaur
Kalshi · resolves Oct 6, 2026
$29K in 24h on Kalshi
Alcaraz vs Lehecka
Kalshi · resolves Oct 6, 2026
$27K in 24h on Kalshi
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Pablo Llamas Ruiz, at 83%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.