Polymarket market

Polymarket EPL: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Manchester City, is at 34%. The market settles by May 31, 2027, and $299 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 34¢ reads as a 34% chance.

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Polymarket · odds · updated

Manchester City34%
Liverpool75%
Chelsea69%
Brighton & Hove Albion39%
Manchester United38%

All 20 outcomes ↓

$299
24h volume on Polymarket
$41K
total volume on Polymarket
20
open of 20 outcomes
May 31, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of EPL: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Manchester City34%34¢$299Trade
Liverpool75%75¢$0Trade
Chelsea69%69¢$0Trade
Brighton & Hove Albion39%39¢$0Trade
Manchester United38%38¢$0Trade
Brentford27%27¢$0Trade
Leeds United16%16¢$0Trade
Crystal Palace16%16¢$0Trade
Sunderland14%14¢$0Trade
Ipswich Town13%13¢$0Trade
Show 10 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of EPL: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Newcastle United13%13¢$0Trade
Aston Villa11%11¢$0Trade
Everton10%10¢$0Trade
Nottingham Forest7%7¢$0Trade
Bournemouth6%6¢$0Trade
Tottenham Hotspur5%5¢$0Trade
Arsenal98%98¢$0Trade
Hull City2%2¢$0Trade
Fulham2%2¢$0Trade
Coventry City1%1¢$0Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 34¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Manchester City
34%▼ 16.0 pts since Sep 28
Yes price
Sep 2834% – 58% scaleOct 5

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Premier League season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Premier League league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Premier League standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution.

Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled or postponed past May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Aug 31, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 34¢ for Manchester City right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.

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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on EPL: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Manchester City, is at 34%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.