Polymarket market

How many Pentakills will there be at Worlds 2026? Polymarket odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, 4+, is at 1%. The market settles by Dec 14, 2026, and $9K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 1¢ reads as a 1% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

4+1%
2+<1%
3+<1%
1+100%

Also priced on Kalshi: 2 questions compared ↓

$9K
24h volume on Polymarket
$21K
total volume on Polymarket
1
open of 4 outcomes
Dec 14, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of How many Pentakills will there be at Worlds 2026?
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
4+1%1¢$798Trade
2+ compare <1%<1¢$3KTrade
3+ compare <1%<1¢$5KTrade
1+Final100%100¢$0
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 1¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions

The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Will there be 3+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?

Yes: Will there be 3+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents<1¢>99¢<0.1¢$5K$3KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus2¢99¢0.1¢$4K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Will there be 2+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?

Yes: Will there be 2+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents<1¢>99¢<0.1¢$3K$3KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus1¢>99¢<0.1¢$4K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · 4+
1%▼ 3.8 pts since Nov 8
Yes price
Nov 80% – 10% scaleNov 15

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total number of pentakills recorded across all official games of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, is greater than or equal to the number specified in the market title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A pentakill is a single player killing all five players on the opposing team in quick succession, as announced by the game client ("PENTAKILL") and recorded in the official game statistics. Every completed official game of the tournament counts (Play-In, Swiss Stage, and Knockout Stage). Pentakills in games that are remade, abandoned, or not completed do not count.

If Worlds 2026 is canceled or postponed such that it has not concluded by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of pentakills recorded in completed official games as of that time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the tournament statistics on Leaguepedia (https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship); however, official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com) and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Dec 14, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 1¢ for 4+ right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on “How many Pentakills will there be at Worlds 2026?”?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, 4+, is at 1%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 2 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.