Kalshi marketKickoff Sun, Oct 25, 12:30pm ET

Kalshi Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Leeds United FC, at 38%. The market settles by Oct 25, 2026, and $53K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 38¢ reads as a 38% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.

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$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Leeds United FC38%
Sunderland AFC33%
Draw31%

Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: compare them

$53K
24h volume on Kalshi
$69K
total volume on Kalshi
$61K
open interest
Oct 25, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Leeds United FC compare 38%38¢$39KTrade
Sunderland AFC compare 33%33¢$11KTrade
Draw compare 31%31¢$3KTrade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 38¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match

The same match on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Sunderland AFC · Will Sunderland AFC win on Oct 25, 2026?

Sunderland AFC: Will Sunderland AFC win on Oct 25, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents33¢68¢1.1¢$83K$410KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only33¢68¢1.5¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus33¢68¢1.5¢$11K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Draw: Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents31¢70¢1.1¢$3K$482KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only31¢70¢1.5¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus31¢70¢1.5¢$3K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Leeds United FC · Will Leeds United FC win on Oct 25, 2026?

Leeds United FC: Will Leeds United FC win on Oct 25, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents37¢cheapest to buy64¢1.2¢$113K$427KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only38¢63¢1.6¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus38¢63¢1.6¢$39K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Leeds United FC
38%▼ 1.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1830% – 48% scaleOct 25

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Leeds United FC wins”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 25, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 38¢ for Leeds United FC right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Leeds United FC, at 38%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.