Kalshi market

Kalshi Liga MX Apertura Champion odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Cruz Azul, at 26%. The market settles by Jan 1, 2027, and $13K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 26¢ reads as a 26% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Claim $50 bonus on KalshiTrade on Kalshi

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Cruz Azul26%
Guadalajara24%
America18%
Toluca13%
Santos Laguna6%

All 18 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: 5 questions compared ↓

$13K
24h volume on Kalshi
$945K
total volume on Kalshi
$473K
open interest
Jan 1, 2027
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Liga MX Apertura Champion
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Cruz Azul compare 26%26¢$2KTrade
Guadalajara compare 24%24¢$3KTrade
America compare 18%18¢$1KTrade
Toluca compare 13%13¢$807Trade
Santos Laguna6%6¢$1KTrade
Atlas5%5¢$0Trade
Monterrey compare 3%3¢$2KTrade
Pachuca3%3¢$1KTrade
Leon3%3¢$156Trade
Tijuana de Caliente2%2¢$936Trade
Show 8 more outcomes
Kalshi odds on each outcome of Liga MX Apertura Champion
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Pumas UNAM2%2¢$468Trade
Queretaro1%1¢$0Trade
Tigres1%1¢$0Trade
Atlante1%1¢$0Trade
Puebla1%1¢$0Trade
Necaxa1%1¢$0Trade
San Luis1%1¢$0Trade
Juarez1%1¢$0Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 26¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on these questions

The same questions on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?

Yes: Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents24¢cheapest to buy76¢0.9¢$445$5KTrade →
Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only28¢72¢1.4¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus26¢cheapest to buy74¢1.3¢$2K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?

Yes: Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents24¢77¢0.9¢$563$4KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus24¢77¢1.3¢$3K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?

Yes: Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents20¢81¢0.8¢$411$4KTrade →
Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only19¢81¢1.1¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus18¢cheapest to buy83¢1.0¢$1K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?

Yes: Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents13¢87¢0.6¢$0$4KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus13¢88¢0.8¢$807–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?

Yes: Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents2¢cheapest to buy98¢0.1¢$59$5KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus3¢98¢0.2¢$2K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Cruz Azul
26%▲ 11.0 pts since Nov 1
Yes price
Nov 115% – 26% scaleNov 8

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Cruz Azul win the Liga MX Apertura?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Jan 1, 2027.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 26¢ for Cruz Azul right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Liga MX Apertura Champion?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Cruz Azul, at 26%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. The 5 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.