Kalshi marketFinal

Kalshi LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) odds

On Kalshi, Natus Vincere closed at 99%. Trading has closed; the result settles the contracts. A contract that closed at 99¢ pays $1 if that outcome is the result, and nothing if not. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · final prices · updated

Natus Vincere99%
FlyQuest1%

Also priced on Polymarket: compare both

$204K
24h volume on Kalshi
$205K
total volume on Kalshi
$147K
open interest
Final
trading closed

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Natus VincereFinal compare 99%99¢$70K
FlyQuestFinal compare 1%1¢$134K

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 99¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match

The same match on both venues. Trading has ended; these are the last prices each venue quoted.

Last prices for Natus Vincere: LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) by venue, and what each venue settled on
VenueNatus VincereFlyQuestResult
Polymarket100¢0¢Settled: Natus Vincere
Kalshi99¢1¢Settled: Natus Vincere
Last price

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Natus Vincere
99%▲ 40.0 pts since Oct 3
Yes price
Oct 356% – 99% scaleOct 5

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market settled

The contract is “Natus Vincere wins”. A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 5, 2026.

Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3)?

On Kalshi, Natus Vincere closed at 99%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.