Polymarket marketFinal

Polymarket LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) odds

On Polymarket, Natus Vincere closed at 100%. Trading has closed; the result settles the contracts. A contract that closed at 100¢ pays $1 if that outcome is the result, and nothing if not. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · final prices · updated

Game 2 Winner · Natus Vincere100%
Game 1 Winner · Natus Vincere100%
Natus Vincere100%
Game Handicap · Natus Vincere -1.5100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1 · Over100%

All 38 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$2.5M
24h volume on Polymarket
$2.5M
total volume on Polymarket
0
open of 38 outcomes
Final
trading closed

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Game 2 Winner · Natus VincereFinal100%100¢$1.1M
Game 1 Winner · Natus VincereFinal100%100¢$907K
Natus VincereFinal compare 100%100¢$429K
Game Handicap · Natus Vincere -1.5Final100%100¢$21K
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1 · OverFinal100%100¢$4K
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1 · OverFinal100%100¢$933
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2 · OverFinal100%100¢$210
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1 · OverFinal100%100¢$133
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2 · OverFinal100%100¢$2
Odd/Even Total Kills · OddFinal100%100¢$0
Show 28 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1 · OverFinal100%100¢$0
Both Teams Slay a DragonFinal100%100¢$0
Both Teams Slay Baron NashorFinal100%100¢$0
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2 · OverFinal100%100¢$0
Both Teams Slay a DragonFinal100%100¢$0
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2 · OverFinal100%100¢$0
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2 · OverFinal100%100¢$0
Any Player Quadra Kill50%50¢$0
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%50¢$0
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%50¢$0
Odd/Even Total Kills · Odd50%50¢$0
Any Player Penta Kill50%50¢$0
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%50¢$0
O/U 2.5 Games · UnderFinal100%100¢$9K
Game Handicap · Natus Vincere +1.5Final100%100¢$521
First Blood in Game 1 · FlyQuestFinal100%100¢$20
Any Player Quadra KillFinal0%0¢$0
Any Player Quadra KillFinal0%0¢$0
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1 · UnderFinal100%100¢$0
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1 · UnderFinal100%100¢$0
Both Teams Destroy InhibitorsFinal0%0¢$0
Both Teams Slay Baron NashorFinal0%0¢$0
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2 · UnderFinal100%100¢$0
Any Player Penta KillFinal0%0¢$0
Odd/Even Total Kills · EvenFinal100%100¢$0
Any Player Penta KillFinal0%0¢$0
First Blood in Game 2 · FlyQuestFinal100%100¢$0
Both Teams Destroy InhibitorsFinal0%0¢$0

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 100¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on both venues. Trading has ended; these are the last prices each venue quoted.

Last prices for Natus Vincere: LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) by venue, and what each venue settled on
VenueNatus VincereFlyQuestResult
Polymarket100¢0¢Settled: Natus Vincere
Kalshi99¢1¢Settled: Natus Vincere
Last price

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Natus Vincere
100%▲ 47.0 pts since Oct 3
Yes price
Oct 348% – 100% scaleOct 5

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market settled

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Natus Vincere and FlyQuest in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against FlyQuest.

This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Natus Vincere.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Scheduled resolution: Oct 5, 2026.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3)?

On Polymarket, Natus Vincere closed at 100%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.