Kalshi market

Kalshi College Football Playoff Qualifiers odds

On Kalshi, the busiest line, Iowa, is at 9%. The market settles by Dec 15, 2026, and $80K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 9¢ reads as a 9% chance. We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet, so there is no second price.

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Kalshi · odds · updated

Iowa9%
Ole Miss44%
UCLA59%
Texas Tech24%
Oregon St.14%

All 57 outcomes ↓

$80K
24h volume on Kalshi
$3.2M
total volume on Kalshi
$2.2M
open interest
Dec 15, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of College Football Playoff Qualifiers
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Iowa9%9¢$10KTrade
Ole Miss44%44¢$7KTrade
UCLA59%59¢$7KTrade
Texas Tech24%24¢$6KTrade
Oregon St.14%14¢$5KTrade
LSU52%52¢$3KTrade
Notre Dame81%81¢$3KTrade
USC7%7¢$3KTrade
Houston7%7¢$3KTrade
Miami (FL)94%94¢$2KTrade
Show 30 more outcomes
Kalshi odds on each outcome of College Football Playoff Qualifiers
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Texas53%53¢$2KTrade
Utah58%58¢$2KTrade
Ohio St.80%80¢$2KTrade
South Carolina4%4¢$2KTrade
Alabama63%63¢$2KTrade
BYU44%44¢$2KTrade
Kentucky37%37¢$2KTrade
New Mexico30%30¢$1KTrade
Tennessee21%21¢$1KTrade
Auburn3%3¢$1KTrade
Indiana88%88¢$968Trade
Oklahoma St.13%13¢$790Trade
Florida23%23¢$558Trade
SMU17%17¢$441Trade
Wisconsin13%13¢$278Trade
James Madison8%8¢$188Trade
Arizona13%13¢$124Trade
Missouri7%7¢$71Trade
Georgia87%87¢$9Trade
Michigan2%2¢$2KTrade
Tulane1%1¢$2KTrade
Oklahoma3%3¢$1KTrade
Oregon2%2¢$1KTrade
Texas A&M1%1¢$757Trade
Clemson2%2¢$721Trade
Virginia Tech1%1¢$648Trade
California1%1¢$304Trade
Mississippi St.2%2¢$239Trade
TCU1%1¢$228Trade
North Texas2%2¢$94Trade

17 more outcomes are priced on Kalshi: the full board on Kalshi (opens in a new tab).

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 9¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Iowa
9%▼ 17.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 186% – 44% scaleOct 25

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Iowa qualify for the College Football Playoffs?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Dec 15, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 9¢ for Iowa right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on College Football Playoff Qualifiers?

On Kalshi, the busiest line, Iowa, is at 9%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.