Kalshi market

Kalshi College Football: SMU Regular Season Wins odds

On Kalshi, the busiest line, 9+ wins, is at 8%. The market settles by Dec 20, 2026, and $4K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 8¢ reads as an 8% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Claim $50 bonus on KalshiTrade on Kalshi

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

8+ wins81%
9+ wins8%
10+ wins2%

Also priced on Polymarket: compare both

$4K
24h volume on Kalshi
$31K
total volume on Kalshi
$15K
open interest
Dec 20, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of College Football: SMU Regular Season Wins
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
8+ wins compare 81%81¢$43Trade
9+ wins8%8¢$3KTrade
10+ winsFinal2%2¢$908

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 81¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this question

The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Yes: Will SMU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents82¢19¢0.8¢$162$1KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus81¢cheapest to buy19¢1.1¢$43–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · 9+ wins
8%▼ 28.5 pts since Nov 8
Yes price
Nov 86% – 46% scaleNov 15

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will SMU win at least 9 games this season?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Dec 20, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 81¢ for 8+ wins right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on College Football: SMU Regular Season Wins?

On Kalshi, the busiest line, 9+ wins, is at 8%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.