Kalshi marketStarts Sat, Nov 14, 7:00pm ET

Kalshi Oilers vs. Maple Leafs odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Oilers, at 59%. The market settles by Nov 14, 2026, and $12K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 59¢ reads as a 59% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Oilers59%
Maple Leafs42%

Also priced on Polymarket: compare both

$12K
24h volume on Kalshi
$18K
total volume on Kalshi
$14K
open interest
Nov 14, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Oilers compare 59%59¢$9KTrade
Maple Leafs compare 42%42¢$3KTrade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 59¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match

The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Oilers: Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueOilersMaple LeafsFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents59¢42¢1.2¢$4K$107KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus59¢42¢1.7¢$12K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Oilers
59%▲ 2.5 pts since Nov 8
Yes price
Nov 849% – 62% scaleNov 14

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Oilers wins”. A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Nov 14, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 59¢ for Oilers right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Oilers vs. Maple Leafs?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Oilers, at 59%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.