Kalshi marketStarts Sun, Nov 15, 12:00am ET

Kalshi Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes: Method of Victory odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Kayla Harrison by Submission, at 31%. The market settles by Nov 15, 2026, and $121K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 31¢ reads as a 31% chance.

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Kalshi · odds · updated

Kayla Harrison by Submission31%
Amanda Nunes by KO/TKO/DQ24%
Kayla Harrison by Decision22%
Amanda Nunes by Decision13%
Kayla Harrison by KO/TKO/DQ11%

All 7 outcomes ↓

$121K
24h volume on Kalshi
$159K
total volume on Kalshi
$155K
open interest
Nov 15, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes: Method of Victory
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Kayla Harrison by Submission31%31¢$10KTrade
Amanda Nunes by KO/TKO/DQ24%24¢$30KTrade
Kayla Harrison by Decision22%22¢$3KTrade
Amanda Nunes by Decision13%13¢$4KTrade
Kayla Harrison by KO/TKO/DQ11%11¢$41KTrade
Amanda Nunes by Submission5%5¢$26KTrade
Draw/No Contest2%2¢$6KTrade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 31¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Kayla Harrison by Submission
31%▼ 1.5 pts since Nov 12
Yes price
Nov 1222% – 38% scaleNov 14

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Kayla Harrison wins by Submission”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Nov 15, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 31¢ for Kayla Harrison by Submission right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes: Method of Victory?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Kayla Harrison by Submission, at 31%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.