Polymarket Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Lyon, is at 30%. The market settles by Jun 12, 2027, and $330 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 30¢ reads as a 30% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 30% | 30¢ | $81 | Trade |
| Marseille | 18% | 18¢ | $80 | Trade |
| Rennes | 40% | 40¢ | $59 | Trade |
| Lille | 42% | 42¢ | $54 | Trade |
| Strasbourg | 13% | 13¢ | $46 | Trade |
| Monaco | 46% | 46¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 96% | 96¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Paris FC | 28% | 28¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lens | 23% | 23¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Brest | 12% | 12¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 8 more outcomes
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 30¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Ligue 1 league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Ligue 1 standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution.
Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled or postponed past June 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Jun 12, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 30¢ for Lyon right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Lyon, is at 30%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.