Polymarket MLB Postseason: Number of Walk-Offs odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, 4+, is at 41%. The market settles by Nov 15, 2026, and $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 41¢ reads as a 41% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at >99¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total number of walk-off wins during the 2026 MLB Postseason equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "walk-off win" is a game that ends the moment the home team takes the lead during its final at-bat, including in any extra inning. Any play producing that lead counts, including a hit, a walk, a hit by pitch, an error, or a balk. If no walk-off wins occur during the 2026 MLB Postseason, every market in this event will resolve to "No".
Only walk-off wins in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason.
If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 15, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, >99¢ for 1+ right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on MLB Postseason: Number of Walk-Offs?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, 4+, is at 41%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.