Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians odds, Oct 5

59%
Favourite: Cleveland Guardians

Consensus across 2 venues · Updated

Markets price Chicago White Sox 41%, Cleveland Guardians 59%, with 2 venues quoting each result. Starts Mon, Oct 5, 5:00pm ET. Each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.

This match on Polymarket and Kalshi.

$336K
24h volume, both venues
2
venues quoting
Mon, Oct 5, 5:00pm ET
starts

Odds by venue

Chicago White Sox: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueChicago White SoxCleveland GuardiansFee24h volumeLiquidity
Polymarket42¢58¢cheapest to buy1.2¢$13K$283KTrade →
Kalshi41¢cheapest to buy60¢0.4¢$323K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket's is its international book, Polymarket US charges its own.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Cleveland Guardians
59%▲ 8.5 pts since Oct 1
Yes price
Oct 150% – 60% scaleOct 5

One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.

What the market is actually pricing

Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 5 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the…

Full settlement wording

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 5 at 5:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Chicago WS wins the Chicago WS vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the Chicago WS vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Where you can trade this

The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.

More MLB matches compared

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Common questions

What are the odds on "Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians"?

Markets price Chicago White Sox 41%, Cleveland Guardians 59% across 2 venues: market-implied probabilities rather than forecasts.

Where can I trade "Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians"?

On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.