Polymarket market

Polymarket MLB The Show 27: Cover Athlete odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Matt Olson, is at 2%. The market settles by Mar 31, 2027. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 2¢ reads as a 2% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Polymarket · odds · updated

Matt Olson2%

All 8 outcomes ↓

–
24h volume on Polymarket
$22K
total volume on Polymarket
1
open of 8 outcomes
Mar 31, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of MLB The Show 27: Cover Athlete
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Matt Olson2%2¢$0Trade
Shohei Ohtani––$0Trade
Bryce Harper––$0Trade
Bryan Woo––$0Trade
Jazz Chisholm––$0Trade
Christian Yelich––$0Trade
Ben Rice––$0Trade
Cam Schlittler––$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 2¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Matt Olson
2%▼ 26.0 pts since Nov 7
Yes price
Nov 72% – 29% scaleNov 14

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as the cover athlete of Sony Interactive’s MLB The Show 27, or if the player is explicitly depicted on the cover. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only explicit depictions of the player or their likeness (including but not limited to: a player’s face, a clear depiction in uniform including logo and/or number) will be considered for this market’s resolution.

All editions (e.g. standard, deluxe, bundle) of the game for console platforms slated for release by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will count toward this market’s resolution.

If MLB The Show 27 does not release, or it cannot be determined if a listed player is included on the cover by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Sony Interactive and/or the player; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Mar 31, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 2¢ for Matt Olson right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on MLB The Show 27: Cover Athlete?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Matt Olson, is at 2%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.