Polymarket Chiefs vs. Falcons odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Chiefs, at 65%. The market settles by Nov 15, 2026, and $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 65¢ reads as a 65% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs compare | 65% | 65¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Spread -1.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2H O/U 25.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Chiefs 2H O/U 16.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Chiefs O/U 10.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Chiefs O/U 27.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Chiefs O/U 20.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
258 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Close-only for US residentsChance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 65¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match
The same match on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Kansas City Chiefs | Atlanta Falcons | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 65¢ | 36¢cheapest to buy | 0.7¢ | $3K | $13K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 63¢cheapest to buy | 37¢cheapest to buy | 1.6¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 64¢ | 38¢ | 1.6¢ | $39K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Chiefs and Falcons, scheduled for November 15 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if Chiefs win the game. This market will resolve to "Falcons" if Falcons win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 15, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 65¢ for Kansas City Chiefs right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Chiefs vs. Falcons?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Chiefs, at 65%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.