Polymarket marketStarts Fri, Oct 30, 8:00pm ET

Polymarket Kraken vs. Flames odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Kraken, at 53%. The market settles by Oct 30, 2026, and $33 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 53¢ reads as a 53% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Kraken53%
O/U 4.5 · Over77%
O/U 5.5 · Over62%
O/U 6.5 · Under52%
O/U 7.5 · Under69%

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

$33
24h volume on Polymarket
$36
total volume on Polymarket
5
open of 5 outcomes
Oct 30, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Kraken vs. Flames
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Kraken compare 53%53¢$33Trade
O/U 4.5 · Over77%77¢$0Trade
O/U 5.5 · Over62%62¢$0Trade
O/U 6.5 · Under52%52¢$0Trade
O/U 7.5 · Under69%69¢$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 53¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Kraken: Kraken vs. Flames: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueKrakenFlamesFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents53¢48¢cheapest to buy1.2¢$33$7KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus49¢cheapest to buy50¢1.7¢$5–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Kraken
53%▼ 6.5 pts since Oct 19
Yes price
Oct 1952% – 62% scaleOct 26

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 30 at 8:00PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Scheduled resolution: Oct 30, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 53¢ for Kraken right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Kraken vs. Flames?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Kraken, at 53%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.