Polymarket Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Cleveland Guardians, at 58%. The market settles by Oct 12, 2026, and $28K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 58¢ reads as a 58% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians compare | 58% | 58¢ | $13K | Trade |
| O/U 6.5 · Over | 51% | 51¢ | $6K | Trade |
| O/U 7.5 · Under | 61% | 61¢ | $5K | Trade |
| O/U 5.5 · Over | 60% | 60¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Spread · Cleveland Guardians +1.5 | 71% | 71¢ | $693 | Trade |
| NRFI | 43% | 43¢ | $385 | Trade |
| Spread · Chicago White Sox +1.5 | 61% | 61¢ | $138 | Trade |
| Cleveland Guardians O/U 1.5 · Over | 81% | 81¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chicago White Sox O/U 1.5 · Over | 73% | 73¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 · Over | 65% | 65¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 17 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 · Over | 63% | 63¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chicago White Sox O/U 2.5 · Over | 54% | 54¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5 · Under | 51% | 51¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 · Under | 54% | 54¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chicago White Sox O/U 3.5 · Under | 60% | 60¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.5 · Under | 65% | 65¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread · Chicago White Sox +1.5 | 65% | 65¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 · Under | 66% | 66¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Chicago White Sox +2.5 | 72% | 72¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chicago White Sox O/U 4.5 · Under | 73% | 73¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 · Under | 76% | 76¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.5 · Under | 77% | 77¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · Cleveland Guardians +2.5 | 81% | 81¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread · Cleveland Guardians +1.5 | 81% | 81¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chicago White Sox O/U 5.5 · Under | 83% | 83¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 · Under | 84% | 84¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Extra Innings | 11% | 11¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 58¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match
The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Chicago White Sox | Cleveland Guardians | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 42¢ | 58¢cheapest to buy | 1.2¢ | $13K | $314K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 41¢cheapest to buy | 60¢ | 0.4¢ | $341K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 5 at 5:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.
This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 12, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 58¢ for Cleveland Guardians right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Cleveland Guardians, at 58%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.