Heat vs. Hawks odds, Oct 28

66%
Favourite: Hawks

Consensus across 3 venues · Updated

Markets price Heat 34%, Hawks 66%, with 3 venues quoting each result. Starts Wed, Oct 28, 7:00pm ET. Each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.

This match on Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi.

$48
24h volume on Polymarket and Kalshi (Polymarket US publishes none)
3
venues quoting
Wed, Oct 28, 7:00pm ET
starts

Odds by venue

Heat: Heat vs. Hawks: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueHeatHawksFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents35¢66¢cheapest to buyfree$0$11KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only34¢cheapest to buy67¢1.5¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus35¢66¢cheapest to buy1.6¢$48–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Hawks
66%▲ 7.0 pts since Oct 22
Yes price
Oct 2244% – 66% scaleOct 25

One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.

What the market is actually pricing

Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 7:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat".

Full settlement wording

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 7:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner of the MIA Heat vs ATL Hawks professional basketball game scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument).

Full settlement wording

This market will settle to the winner of the MIA Heat vs ATL Hawks professional basketball game scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Kalshi

If Miami wins the Miami vs Atlanta Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Where you can trade this

The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.

More NBA matches compared

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Common questions

What are the odds on "Heat vs. Hawks"?

Markets price Heat 34%, Hawks 66% across 3 venues: market-implied probabilities rather than forecasts.

Where can I trade "Heat vs. Hawks"?

On Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. Polymarket US takes US residents only; from the US, polymarket.com is close-only. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.