Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North" at 24%, with 3 venues quoting within 1 point of each other. The contract settles by Jan 17, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 24¢cheapest to buy | 76¢ | 0.5¢ | $1K | $6K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 25¢ | 76¢ | 1.3¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 25¢ | 76¢ | 1.3¢ | $5K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC North division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC North division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season.
If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL.
If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Chicago Bears are the 2026 NFC North Division Champions, this market will settle to Yes.
Full settlement wording
If the Chicago Bears are the 2026 NFC North Division Champions, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body or event organizer. If the conclusion of the regular season is postponed or delayed within two weeks of the original date, the market will remain open and will settle once the champion is officially determined. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond the two-week window results in resolution at the last fair market price. If the Chicago Bears are eliminated from contention, this market will settle to No.
If Chicago wins the Pro Football NFC North Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North"?
Markets currently price it at 24% across 3 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North"?
On Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. Polymarket US takes US residents only; from the US, polymarket.com is close-only. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.