Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Odds and prices
"Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship" is priced at 19% on Polymarket and 1% on Kalshi, where Kalshi has no live quote: the venues disagree, so 10% is their average, not a consensus. The contract settles by Jan 25, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 19¢ | 82¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | $116K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Notre Dame is the 2027 Men's College Basketball ACC conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship"?
The venues disagree: 19% on Polymarket and 1% on Kalshi. The 10% shown is their average; the gap often comes from settlement rules worded differently, compared on this page.
Where can I trade "Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.