Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Odds and prices

<1%
Yes

Consensus across 2 venues · Updated

Markets price "Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup" at <1%, with 2 venues quoting at the same price. The contract settles by Dec 31, 2026; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.

This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.

$7
24h volume, both venues
2
venues quoting
Dec 31, 2026
settles

Odds by venue

Yes: Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
Polymarket<1¢>99¢<0.1¢$6$19KTrade →
Kalshi1¢99¢<0.1¢$1–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket's is its international book, Polymarket US charges its own.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup
<1%▲ 0.1 pts since Sep 28
Yes price
Sep 280% – 10% scaleOct 5

One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.

What the market is actually pricing

Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

Full settlement wording

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Salt Lake is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Cup Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Where you can trade this

The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.

Related markets

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ at execution.

Common questions

What are the odds on "Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup"?

Markets currently price it at <1% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.

Where can I trade "Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup"?

On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.