Polymarket Primeira Liga: Teams relegated (2026-27) odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Nacional, is at 44%. The market settles by Jun 30, 2027, and $886 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 44¢ reads as a 44% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 44% | 44¢ | $535 | Trade |
| Benfica | 4% | 4¢ | $105 | Trade |
| Braga | 18% | 18¢ | $77 | Trade |
| Rio Ave | 41% | 41¢ | $76 | Trade |
| Marítimo | 20% | 20¢ | $60 | Trade |
| Estoril Praia | 51% | 51¢ | $34 | Trade |
| Casa Pia | 50% | 50¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Académico de Viseu | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Gil Vicente | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Arouca | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 4 more outcomes
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 44¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Primeira Liga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Primeira Liga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Primeira Liga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Primeira Liga.
If the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Primeira Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Jun 30, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 44¢ for Nacional right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Primeira Liga: Teams relegated (2026-27)?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Nacional, is at 44%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.