Polymarket market

Polymarket UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Sporting CP, is at 14%. The market settles by Mar 20, 2027, and $80 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 14¢ reads as a 14% chance.

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Polymarket · odds · updated

Sporting CP14%
Roma24%
Paris Saint-Germain86%
Real Madrid83%
Barcelona80%

All 35 outcomes ↓

$80
24h volume on Polymarket
$64K
total volume on Polymarket
35
open of 35 outcomes
Mar 20, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Sporting CP14%14¢$60Trade
Roma24%24¢$20Trade
Paris Saint-Germain86%86¢$0Trade
Real Madrid83%83¢$0Trade
Barcelona80%80¢$0Trade
Arsenal75%75¢$0Trade
Bayern Munich72%72¢$0Trade
Liverpool64%64¢$0Trade
Manchester City61%61¢$0Trade
Inter Milan37%37¢$0Trade
Show 25 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Atlético Madrid35%35¢$0Trade
Aston Villa31%31¢$0Trade
Real Betis27%27¢$0Trade
VfB Stuttgart27%27¢$0Trade
Borussia Dortmund23%23¢$0Trade
Como22%22¢$0Trade
Manchester United21%21¢$0Trade
Napoli19%19¢$0Trade
Villarreal16%16¢$0Trade
Feyenoord16%16¢$0Trade
Galatasaray14%14¢$0Trade
Bodø/Glimt14%14¢$0Trade
RB Leipzig14%14¢$0Trade
Porto13%13¢$0Trade
PSV Eindhoven12%12¢$0Trade
Lens12%12¢$0Trade
Lille8%8¢$0Trade
Shakhtar Donetsk7%7¢$0Trade
LASK5%5¢$0Trade
AEK Athens4%4¢$0Trade
Slavia Prague4%4¢$0Trade
Slovan Bratislava3%3¢$0Trade
Fenerbahçe3%3¢$0Trade
Viking2%2¢$0Trade
Sabah1%1¢$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 14¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Sporting CP
14%▼ 10.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1814% – 25% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Mar 20, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 14¢ for Sporting CP right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Sporting CP, is at 14%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.