Polymarket UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Real Madrid, is at 82%. The market settles by Mar 20, 2027, and $7K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 82¢ reads as an 82% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 82% | 82¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Barcelona | 84% | 84¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Arsenal | 79% | 79¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Bayern Munich | 79% | 79¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 74% | 74¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Manchester City | 69% | 69¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Liverpool | 65% | 65¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Inter Milan | 43% | 43¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Manchester United | 31% | 31¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Borussia Dortmund | 29% | 29¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 26 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | 27% | 27¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sporting CP | 22% | 22¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Aston Villa | 22% | 22¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Roma | 20% | 20¢ | $0 | Trade |
| PSV Eindhoven | 17% | 17¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Como | 16% | 16¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Real Betis | 16% | 16¢ | $0 | Trade |
| VfB Stuttgart | 15% | 15¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lens | 14% | 14¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Porto | 14% | 14¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Napoli | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Villarreal | 12% | 12¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Club Brugge | 12% | 12¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Galatasaray | 11% | 11¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 10% | 10¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fenerbahçe | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| AEK Athens | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Slavia Prague | 7% | 7¢ | $0 | Trade |
| RB Leipzig | 7% | 7¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Feyenoord | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| LASK | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Bodø/Glimt | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lille | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Slovan Bratislava | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Viking | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sabah | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 82¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Mar 20, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 82¢ for Real Madrid right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Real Madrid, is at 82%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.